With machine learning, everything tends to boil down to features and labels. We have labels, like, in our case, under-performer, and out-performer. With those labels, we have "features" that are the specific values like Debt/Equity ratio that correspond to that label.
With that, we're looking to now label our data. To do that, we're going to compare the stock's percentage change to the S&P 500's percentage change. If the stock's percent change is less than the S&P 500, then the stock is and under-performing stock. If the percentage change is more, than the label is out-perform.
To do this, we need the calculate percentage change and compare them. Let's cover that:
import pandas as pd import os import time from datetime import datetime path = "X:/Backups/intraQuarter" def Key_Stats(gather="Total Debt/Equity (mrq)"): statspath = path+'/_KeyStats' stock_list = [x[0] for x in os.walk(statspath)] df = pd.DataFrame(columns = ['Date', 'Unix', 'Ticker', 'DE Ratio', 'Price', 'stock_p_change', 'SP500', 'sp500_p_change'])
Notice the new changes to our Data Frame.
Next:
sp500_df = pd.DataFrame.from_csv("YAHOO-INDEX_GSPC.csv") ticker_list = [] for each_dir in stock_list[1:25]: each_file = os.listdir(each_dir) ticker = each_dir.split("\\")[1] ticker_list.append(ticker) starting_stock_value = False starting_sp500_value = False
Notice the starting_stock_value and the matching sp500 version. The reason for this is that, as we go, we want to calculate % change. That said, we need to start over with the % change each time the stock itself changes. To handle for this, we set these values.
Next:
if len(each_file) > 0: for file in each_file: date_stamp = datetime.strptime(file, '%Y%m%d%H%M%S.html') unix_time = time.mktime(date_stamp.timetuple()) full_file_path = each_dir+'/'+file source = open(full_file_path,'r').read() try: value = float(source.split(gather+':</td><td class="yfnc_tabledata1">')[1].split('</td>')[0]) try: sp500_date = datetime.fromtimestamp(unix_time).strftime('%Y-%m-%d') row = sp500_df[(sp500_df.index == sp500_date)] sp500_value = float(row["Adjusted Close"]) except: sp500_date = datetime.fromtimestamp(unix_time-259200).strftime('%Y-%m-%d') row = sp500_df[(sp500_df.index == sp500_date)] sp500_value = float(row["Adjusted Close"]) stock_price = float(source.split('</small><big><b>')[1].split('</b></big>')[0]) #print("stock_price:",stock_price,"ticker:", ticker) if not starting_stock_value: starting_stock_value = stock_price if not starting_sp500_value: starting_sp500_value = sp500_value
So now we set the starting value if we don't have one. From here, we then just need to calculate % change (new-old)/old * 100:
stock_p_change = ((stock_price - starting_stock_value) / starting_stock_value) * 100 sp500_p_change = ((sp500_value - starting_sp500_value) / starting_sp500_value) * 100
Now we just round off the script with the previously covered code:
df = df.append({'Date':date_stamp, 'Unix':unix_time, 'Ticker':ticker, 'DE Ratio':value, 'Price':stock_price, 'stock_p_change':stock_p_change, 'SP500':sp500_value, 'sp500_p_change':sp500_p_change}, ignore_index = True) except Exception as e: pass #print(str(e)) save = gather.replace(' ','').replace(')','').replace('(','').replace('/','')+('.csv') print(save) df.to_csv(save) Key_Stats()